Page 8 - LUA May - June 2023 for Magzter
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COVER STORY

              Exhibit 1
              Cargo yields have fallen from the highs of 2021, although they remain elevated
               Cargo yields have fallen from the highs of 2021, although they remain elevated
              versus pre-pandemic levels.
              Cargo yields have fallen from the highs of 2021, although they remain elevated
               versus pre-pandemic levels.
              versus pre-pandemic levels
               Demand and supply, index to Jan 2020                      Demand (FTK)  Supply (ATK)
              150

                                                                      110
              120
                                                                                                92
               90
                                                                      90                        91
               60

               30
               Load factors, %
               80
               70                                                     59
               60   52                                                                          49
               50
               40
               30
               20
               10
                0
               Yields, $/kg

                5
                                                                     4.04
                4
                                                                                               2.95
                3

                2   1.71
                1
                0
                   1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8  9 10 11 12 1  2 3 4 5 6 7 8  9 10 11 12 1
        Credit: McKinsey  Note: International air cargo market.  2021           2022           2023
                            2020

               Source: IATA; WorldACD; Freightos

               McKinsey & Company
           In 2021 and 2022, the pace of booking   Airlines could, for instance, use   airline will have to act to protect its
         accelerated and exceeded 2019 levels at the   dashboards to monitor how flights   position, writes Daher, Hausmann and
         two-week before departure point, the report   are being filled, and where the biggest   Williams. "This requires airlines to be agile,
              data that is above the sales funnel, such as which
                                                          product selection, price offer, etcetera). Having all
         said. "At one week before departure, the   opportunities lie, based on what   make decisions quickly, and to implement
              flights customers search for, lead times, how the
                                                          of this data in one place means that cargo airlines
         share of weight booked was considerably   capacity has been booked and what is   new ways of working."
              cargo request was made, how long it took to fulfill,
                                                          can improve their customer experience: better
         higher compared to pre-pandemic levels,   expected at any point in time, says the   Cargo airlines looking to re-think
                                                          understand what customers want, and when they
              and if there was a cancelation or modification.
         resulting in less urgency to fill the flight at   report. "Forecasts, or estimates of what   revenue management could consider the
                                                          are likely to want it. This is the type of insight that
              Airlines can also look at step-based conversion
         the last minute.                  is expected, could be based on lagging   following three priorities:
              rates showing how the airline performs at each
                                                          companies in B2C industries, such as passenger
           "Any last-minute price reductions   indicators (historical data) and also on     ƒ Harness the power of data
                                                          airlines or hotels, typically have access to and cargo
              stage of the sales funnel (discovery, flight selection,
         would probably have been less effective   the leading indicators made possible by     ƒ Assess the value of advanced analytics
         than in previous years as most of the   the trove of new data that comes with     ƒ Re-design internal processes.
         airline’s customers were already booking   digitising capacity."       "Despite the challenges that cargo
         closer to the flight date. This example also                        airlines could be facing in the coming
         illustrates the last-minute nature of the   TIME TO ACT - NOW       months, there are opportunities to
         industry, where more than half of a flight’s   In a volatile and uncertain market where   improve revenue management to remain
                                                                                                      3
              Ahead of the curve: Getting cargo revenue management right as the cycle turns
         capacity is often booked in the last week."  yields are likely to decline, each cargo   competitive and profitable. This depends
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