Page 9 - LUA November - December 2023 for Magzter
P. 9

TEUs. Revenue was down 52 percent at                                according to the latest Container
         $7.6 billion. Volumes continued to grow                             Market Annual Review and Forecast
         on the North-South and short-sea lines                              from Drewry.
         while further normalising on the East-                                 Simon Heaney, Senior Manager,
         West lines due to inventory drawdowns                               Container Research, Drewry is expecting
         in the United States and more moderate                              a 60 percent reduction in freight rates
         household consumption in an inflationary                            in 2023 "to be followed by a drop of 33
         environment, the carrier said while                                 percent in 2024." The low freight rates,
         announcing Q3 results.                   From what we know,         according to Heaney, are the outcome
                                                  there’s little room        of the demand-supply mismatch - while
         2023, 2024 AND BEYOND                                               supply is expected to increase 6.4 percent,
         “New environmental regulations being     to go further down.        demand growth is likely to be tepid at
         introduced in 2024 are an additional     What’s most likely         around two percent.
         complication for carriers in what is     is they stay a little         “Think about underlying weak
         an already challenging market," adds                                macroeconomics - inflation rates, cost of
         Berglund. “These regulations will        longer around this         living, interest rates and reduced global
         prohibit some carriers from utilising all   level, maybe go a       consumption," adds Berglund. "On top of
         of their capacity because their vessels are   little bit down, but   that you have wider political turmoil and
         not environmentally-friendly enough                                 wars. There are still some heavy dark skies
         and will go out of the market. As a result,   they will, for sure,   on the horizon and that could change
         we will continue to see slow-steaming    go back up.                the equation. But I still believe shipping
         and blank sailing.”                                                 lines will adjust to whatever demand is
           Container carriers are expected to             PATRIK BERGLUND    out there because anything else does not
         report a loss of $15 billion in 2024,                       XENETA  make sense.”

          NOVEMBER - DECEMBER 2023                                                                         LUA 7
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